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The financial landscape of China is undergoing a notable transformation as highlighted by recent statistics released by the People's Bank of China (PBOC). As of November, the broad money supply, known as M2, stood at a staggering 311.96 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.1%. Likewise, the total social financing, which serves as a comprehensive measure of credit, reached 405.6 trillion yuan, marking a 7.8% rise compared to the previous yearThis steady growth is further evidenced by the balance of various loans in renminbi, which also increased, amounting to 254.68 trillion yuan, up 7.7% year-on-yearAnalysts regard these figures as a positive indication, suggesting that the financial sector continues to provide robust support for the real economy amidst ongoing adjustments in China's economic structure.
So, where is this surge in credit flowing? In the first eleven months of the current year, new loans in renminbi accounted for an impressive increase of 17.1 trillion yuan
Among these, loans extended to enterprises and institutions made up the majority, increasing by 13.84 trillion yuanA closer look at specific sectors reveals that as of November, the long-term loans for manufacturing have reached a balance of 13.87 trillion yuan, witnessing a remarkable year-on-year growth of 12.8%. More specifically, loans to specialized and innovative enterprises reached 4.25 trillion yuan with a growth rate of 13.2%, while inclusive loans earmarked for small and micro-enterprises soared to 32.21 trillion yuan, reflecting an impressive growth of 14.3%. This targeted approach towards credit allocation highlights the prioritization of strategic sectors that align with China's broader economic goals.
Delving deeper, the demands for credit in sectors such as science and technology are being increasingly recognizedRecent research from market institutions reveals that banks are proactively exploring untapped credit needs in the market
For instance, in Anhui Province, leveraging the development of the Hefei Innovation and Technology Reform Pilot Zone, banks have initiated measures to address the mismatch between perceived credit risks and potential benefits for tech-oriented enterprisesThe introduction of the Joint Growth Plan represents a novel service model, which combines loan agreements with long-term strategic cooperation commitments, providing comprehensive financial services to support technological innovation and industry upgrades.
Meanwhile, the realm of inclusive financing for small and micro-enterprises has maintained a strong upward trendExperts emphasize that such loans have become a critical domain for commercial banks in their lending strategiesBanks have engaged with communities directly through activities intended to reach deeper into parks, streets, neighborhoods, townships, and business circles
These initiatives aim to resolve financing challenges on-site, thereby enhancing the borrowing experience and stimulating demand for fundingIn addition, banks are extending their services to support private small and micro-businesses through a variety of mechanisms including adaptable loan conditions and tailored financial products, ensuring that existing loans can be extended where necessary and that new loans are accessible to eligible businesses to alleviate financial pressures.
On the consumption front, there has been a noticeable stabilization in personal loans as wellThe rate of household loans has seen an uptick, largely driven by a rebound in personal mortgagesWith the implementation of a set of policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market, there has been a noticeable reduction in the early repayment of personal loansData from the PBOC reveals that in October alone, the issuance of personal mortgages exceeded 400 billion yuan, alongside a significant decrease in the volume of early repayments.
Add to this, the real estate market is also exhibiting signs of positive progression, with marginal improvements in transactions
For instance, the total area of commercial residential property transactions in 30 major and medium-sized cities showed year-on-year growth for the first time in one and a half yearsThe continuous activity witnessed in December further corroborates this trend, pointing to a gradual revival in confidence among consumers concerning the property market.
As of the end of November, narrow money, or M1, recorded a balance of 65.09 trillion yuan, decreasing by 3.7% year-on-year, albeit with an improved growth rate compared to the previous monthThe narrowing disparity between M2 and M1 continues to suggest a stabilization in economic activities, enhancing confidence in the ongoing recovery process.
In light of these developments, senior economists are optimistic about the future trajectory of financing in the marketWen Bin, chief economist at Minsheng Bank, noted that as a result of the series of policy introductions and effective implementations, societal expectations and market confidence are gradually picking up
Looking ahead, the demand for effective financing in the market is expected to further improve, leading to financial resources being directed towards significant strategic areas and critical challenges, thereby facilitating high-quality development in the real economy.
The Central Economic Work Conference recently signaled a shift in the monetary policy stance for the coming year, moving from a “prudent” to a more “moderately accommodative” approach, thereby emphasizing a more proactive macroeconomic policy framework.
Zou Lan, head of the Monetary Policy Department at the PBOC, recently commented on this policy shift, signifying its profound importance and its potential to bolster investor confidence and consumer willingness to spendBy focusing on invigorating the activities of business entities, there is an optimistic outlook for a continuous positive cycle within the real economy.
The commitment to the “moderately accommodative” policy entails considerations for timely and strategic reductions in reserve requirements and interest rates, ensuring abundant liquidity
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